13 lines
2.0 KiB
JSON
13 lines
2.0 KiB
JSON
{
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"HubID": "2730",
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"Date": "6/28/2023",
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"HubTags": [
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"External Platform Posts"
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],
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"Contacts": "",
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"Companies": "",
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"File": "",
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"Image": "2730__Image_URL.jpg",
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"Summary": "Who wins and loses in #deglobalization ? How is the US positioned?",
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"Notes": "<p>Who wins and loses in #deglobalization ? How is the US positioned? Here's the slides and text copied in from a recent presentation on the 2025-2045 era I gave that included this uber trend. </p><p>Global supply chains are no longer feasible: competition for resources + climate change + cost to maintain a globalized world order = deglobalization.<br /></p><p>The global world order is shifting and future success will be dependent on the following attributes:<br /></p><p> 1. Demographics<br /></p><p> 2. Access to resources<br /></p><p> 3. Vibrant consumer markets<br /></p><p> 4. Wealth, military strength, infrastructure and educated population<br /></p><p>Export-led countries are now highly disadvantaged.<br /></p><p>Who is positioned for success?<br /></p><p>The US in a class all its own. It was not the 20th century, but the 21st century that may be remembered as the Age of America. Not to say we won’t have problems to deal with, but we will fare better than everyone else. <br /></p><p>Distant second to the US:<br /></p><p> > UK<br /></p><p> > France<br /></p><p> > Turkey<br /></p><p> > Australia/New Zealand<br /></p><p> > and maybe India - they have elements of the above attributes. <br /></p><p>And no one else!<br /></p><p>Global supply chains will become more regional: <br /></p><p> > US leads with Mexico, and Canada is able to piggyback on their successes, along with parts of Central and South America<br /></p><p> > UK leads with Scandinavia<br /></p><p> > Australia/NZ leads with Southeast Asia<br /></p><p>Others likely to emerge - too early to tell who. <br /></p><p>Everyone else will devolve backwards from being industrialized nations, some faster than others. This will be a tough era (possibly disastrous) for many countries. <span></span><br /></p>"
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} |