Many transformative technologies follow an S-curve: slow buildup, then a sudden “bang” moment when everything changes and adoption skyrockets. Think: the PC boom in 1984 with the release of the Macintosh, the Internet boom in 1995 when Netscape IPO'd, the smartphone boom in 2007 with the iPhone, cloud/SAAS boom in 2012, and AI most recently in November 2022.
Carlota Perez, in Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital, outlined how every major tech revolution follows a cycle—installation, collapse, and deployment—punctuated by explosive breakthroughs that realign entire economies. So what’s the next “bang” moment? I believe one could come when AI overcomes its persistent memory limitations. When models can persistently remember and learn from every interaction with each individual, tailoring responses over time like a true assistant, we’ll see a step-change in usefulness. Is that one or two years away? Hard to say—but we’re close. And just beyond that? The next bang comes from humanoid robotics.https://paritoshmohan.substack.com/p/the-chatgpt-moment-in-robotics-and?utm_source=tldrai
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