{ "HubID": "5260", "Date": "5/21/2025", "HubTags": [ "External Platform Posts", "Future Map" ], "Contacts": "", "Companies": "", "File": "", "Image": "5260__Image_URL.jpg", "Summary": "

This is a powerful visualization gong back to 1968. The back line shows expectations of new orders over the next 6 months. The red line is the monthly change in standard deviations/z-score. May 2025 showed the strongest positive increase ever of 4.3, compared to the most extreme negative drop of -4.1 in 2008. What does the May number mean? Not much, I think. It was a response to tariffs easing, against a backdrop where no orders were flowing at all, and the need to rush new ones in under the 90-day window. A temporary bump in the continuation of an anemic economy that is trending down. This is not the start of something new and sustained.

", "Notes": "" }